Exponential dispersion model

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In probability and statistics, the class of exponential dispersion models (EDM), also called exponential dispersion family (EDF), is a set of probability distributions that represents a generalisation of the natural exponential family.[1][2][3] Exponential dispersion models play an important role in statistical theory, in particular in generalized linear models because they have a special structure which enables deductions to be made about appropriate statistical inference.

Definition

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Univariate case

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There are two versions to formulate an exponential dispersion model.

Additive exponential dispersion model

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In the univariate case, a real-valued random variable X belongs to the additive exponential dispersion model with canonical parameter θ and index parameter λ, XED*(θ,λ), if its probability density function can be written as

fX(xθ,λ)=h*(λ,x)exp(θxλA(θ)).

Reproductive exponential dispersion model

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The distribution of the transformed random variable Y=Xλ is called reproductive exponential dispersion model, YED(μ,σ2), and is given by

fY(yμ,σ2)=h(σ2,y)exp(θyA(θ)σ2),

with σ2=1λ and μ=A(θ), implying θ=(A)1(μ). The terminology dispersion model stems from interpreting σ2 as dispersion parameter. For fixed parameter σ2, the ED(μ,σ2) is a natural exponential family.

Multivariate case

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In the multivariate case, the n-dimensional random variable 𝐗 has a probability density function of the following form[1]

f𝐗(𝐱|𝜽,λ)=h(λ,𝐱)exp(λ(𝜽𝐱A(𝜽))),

where the parameter 𝜽 has the same dimension as 𝐗.

Properties

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Cumulant-generating function

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The cumulant-generating function of YED(μ,σ2) is given by

K(t;μ,σ2)=logE[etY]=A(θ+σ2t)A(θ)σ2,

with θ=(A)1(μ)

Mean and variance

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Mean and variance of YED(μ,σ2) are given by

E[Y]=μ=A(θ),Var[Y]=σ2A(θ)=σ2V(μ),

with unit variance function V(μ)=A((A)1(μ)).

Reproductive

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If Y1,,Yn are i.i.d. with YiED(μ,σ2wi), i.e. same mean μ and different weights wi, the weighted mean is again an ED with

i=1nwiYiwED(μ,σ2w),

with w=i=1nwi. Therefore Yi are called reproductive.

Unit deviance

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The probability density function of an ED(μ,σ2) can also be expressed in terms of the unit deviance d(y,μ) as

fY(yμ,σ2)=h~(σ2,y)exp(d(y,μ)2σ2),

where the unit deviance takes the special form d(y,μ)=yf(μ)+g(μ)+h(y) or in terms of the unit variance function as d(y,μ)=2μyytV(t)dt.

Examples

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Many very common probability distributions belong to the class of EDMs, among them are: normal distribution, binomial distribution, Poisson distribution, negative binomial distribution, gamma distribution, inverse Gaussian distribution, and Tweedie distribution.

References

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  1. ^ a b Jørgensen, B. (1987). Exponential dispersion models (with discussion). Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 49 (2), 127–162.
  2. ^ Jørgensen, B. (1992). The theory of exponential dispersion models and analysis of deviance. Monografias de matemática, no. 51.
  3. ^ Marriott, P. (2005) "Local Mixtures and Exponential Dispersion Models" pdf