2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to navigation Jump to search

Template:SHORTDESC:

2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election
File:Flag of Arkansas.svg
← 2014
November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)
2022 →
  File:Asa Hutchinson crop (3x4b).jpg File:3x4.svg
Nominee Asa Hutchinson Jared Henderson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 582,406 283,218
Percentage 65.33% 31.77%

Hutchinson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Henderson:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%

Governor before election

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

Elected Governor

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

The 2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Arkansas, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Asa Hutchinson won re-election to a second term, winning by more than 33 percentage points and carrying all but seven counties, marking the largest winning margin of any Republican gubernatorial candidate in Arkansas history.

Republican primary

[edit | edit source]

Candidates

[edit | edit source]

Declared

[edit | edit source]

Declined

[edit | edit source]

Endorsements

[edit | edit source]
Asa Hutchinson
Federal officials
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

[edit | edit source]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Asa
Hutchinson
Jan
Morgan
Undecided
Hendrix College[10] April 17–19, 2018 676 ± 3.8% 58% 31% 12%

Results

[edit | edit source]
File:Arkansas gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Hutchinson
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Morgan
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Asa Hutchinson (incumbent) 145,251 69.7
Republican Jan Morgan 63,009 30.3
Total votes 208,260 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit | edit source]

Candidates

[edit | edit source]

Declared

[edit | edit source]

Declined

[edit | edit source]

Results

[edit | edit source]
File:Arkansas gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Henderson
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Sanders
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jared Henderson 68,340 63.4
Democratic Leticia Sanders 39,382 36.6
Total votes 107,722 100.0

Independents

[edit | edit source]

Candidates

[edit | edit source]

Declined

[edit | edit source]

Libertarian primary

[edit | edit source]

Candidates

[edit | edit source]

Declared

[edit | edit source]

General election

[edit | edit source]

Predictions

[edit | edit source]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Safe R October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[20] Safe R November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[21] Safe R November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[22] Safe R November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[24] Safe R November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[25] Safe R November 5, 2018
Fox News[26][a] Likely R November 5, 2018
Politico[27] Safe R November 5, 2018
Governing[28] Safe R November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

[edit | edit source]
Dates Location Hutchinson Henderson West Link
September 12, 2018 Little Rock, Arkansas Didn't participate Participant Participant Full debate[29] - YouTube
October 12, 2018 Conway, Arkansas Participant Participant Participant Full debate[30] - C-SPAN

Polling

[edit | edit source]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Asa
Hutchinson (R)
Jared
Henderson (D)
Mark
West (L)
Other Undecided
University of Arkansas[31] October 1–28, 2018 618 ± 3.9% 59% 35% 6%
Hendrix College[32] October 18–19, 2018 528 ± 4.3% 60% 24% 5% 11%
Hendrix College[33] September 5–7, 2018 1,701 ± 2.4% 60% 25% 6% 9%
Mason-Dixon[34] March 21–24, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 63% 24% 13%

Results

[edit | edit source]
2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election[35]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Asa Hutchinson (incumbent) 582,406 65.33% +9.89%
Democratic Jared Henderson 283,218 31.77% −9.72%
Libertarian Mark West 25,885 2.90% +0.98%
Total votes 891,509 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit | edit source]

By congressional district

[edit | edit source]

Hutchinson won all four congressional districts.[36]

District Hutchinson Henderson Representative
1st 69% 27% Rick Crawford
2nd 59% 39% French Hill
3rd 66% 31% Steve Womack
4th 69% 28% Bruce Westerman

See also

[edit | edit source]

References

[edit | edit source]
  1. ^ a b c d Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  2. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  3. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  4. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  5. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  6. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  7. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  8. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  9. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  10. ^ Hendrix College
  11. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  12. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  13. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  14. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  15. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  16. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  17. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  18. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  19. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  20. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  21. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  22. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  23. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  24. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  25. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  26. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  27. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  28. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  29. ^ Full debate
  30. ^ Full debate
  31. ^ University of Arkansas
  32. ^ Hendrix College
  33. ^ Hendrix College
  34. ^ Mason-Dixon
  35. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
  36. ^ Lua error in Module:Citation/CS1/Configuration at line 2172: attempt to index field '?' (a nil value).
[edit | edit source]

Official campaign websites

Lua error in mw.title.lua at line 392: bad argument #2 to 'title.new' (unrecognized namespace name 'Portal').